Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans YES at 81%. Momentum is strong down. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$23.46 (+23%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability81.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong down24h Price Change: -9.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice stable for 18 days
- Price dropped -9.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong down
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$3K
Liquidity$12K
Current Probability81%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 2.0% → 1.7%
267 days until resolution. Price movements are small and steady.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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AI Brief
The market is highly confident (91% yes) that annual inflation will exceed 3.5% sometime before December 31, pricing in sustained price pressures despite Fed rate cuts. With the year half-complete and only 9% betting no, traders see elevated inflation as the base case for 2026 year-end.