About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 77% NO. Momentum is falling. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$334.78 (+335%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability23.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: +6.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Price jumped +6.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$25K
Liquidity$12K
Current Probability23%
Resolves in22d
Low VolatilityVol: 20.3% → 9.0%
22 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
AI Brief
Tulsi Gabbard is priced at 20% to exit her role within 26 days despite a sharp 6.5% decline in the past day, suggesting recent stability reassured traders about her tenure. As Trump's appointee, only unexpected political upheaval or personal resignation would trigger a YES outcome by April 30.