Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by April 30?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects YES (98%). Momentum is strong up. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$2.04 (+2%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability98.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong up24h Price Change: +12.8%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice stable for 17 days
- Price jumped +12.8pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong up
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$28K
Liquidity$116K
Current Probability98%
Resolves in20d
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
21 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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