Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 40% YES. Momentum is rising. Large trader flow is active. Resolves in 6 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$150.00 (+150%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability40.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Rising24h Price Change: +5.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice stable for 15 days
- Price jumped +5.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Rising
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$6K
Liquidity$23K
Current Probability40%
Resolves in5d
Active tradingVol: 0.7% → 2.4%
5d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Momentum building — watch for breakout signals