About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 72% NO. Momentum is strong down.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$244.83 (+245%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability29.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong down24h Price Change: -8.0%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: FQuietPrice forming
- Price dropped -8.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong down
- Volume trend: cooling
- Price move: Price moved down to 32.4% from 36.1% baseline — 10% shift
- Quiet order flow
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$186
Liquidity$3K
Current Probability29%
Resolves in22d
Low VolatilityVol: 4.0% → 2.5%
22 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets4
Anomalies
CriticalPricez=4.2