About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 37% YES. Momentum is rising.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$170.27 (+170%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability37.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: RisingVolume trend: coolingLiquidity: CQuietPrice forming
- Momentum: Rising
- Volume trend: cooling
- Price move: Price moved down to 32.8% from 36.1% baseline — 9% shift
- Quiet order flow
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$186
Liquidity$3K
Current Probability37%
Resolves in22d
Low VolatilityVol: 4.0% → 2.5%
22 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets4
Anomalies
CriticalPricez=3.5