About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (96% NO). Momentum is rising. Predominantly retail flow.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$2400.00 (+2400%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability4.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Rising24h Price Change: +3.1%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: DRetail pressurePrice forming
- Price jumped +3.1pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Rising
- Volume trend: rising
- Retail pressure observed
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$211
Liquidity$15K
Current Probability4%
Resolves in3mo
Low VolatilityVol: 71.8% → 29.6%
112 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets2
AI Brief
Zero probability on two cuts followed by a pause, another rejected scenario in the aggressive-cut family. Markets see no viable path to back-to-back cuts followed by stabilization in the next three months given prevailing economic momentum.