Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 44% YES. Momentum is strong up. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$127.27 (+127%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability44.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong up24h Price Change: +33.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice forming
- Price jumped +33.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong up
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$8K
Liquidity$12K
Current Probability44%
Resolves in21d
Low VolatilityVol: 9.5% → 4.7%
22 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Good entry point — prices are stable with room to move