Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects YES (94%). Momentum is strong up. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$6.38 (+6%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability94.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong up24h Price Change: +16.2%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice stable for 16 days
- Price jumped +16.2pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong up
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$36K
Liquidity$11K
Current Probability94%
Resolves in20d
Low VolatilityVol: 1.1% → 1.3%
21 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert