About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 51% YES. Momentum is strong down. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$96.08 (+96%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability51.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong down24h Price Change: -29.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price dropped -29.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong down
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved down to 50.2% from 74.0% baseline — 32% shift
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$64K
Liquidity$16K
Current Probability51%
Resolves in22d
Low VolatilityVol: 13.6% → 6.4%
22 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Good entry point — prices are stable with room to move
AI Brief
Israel military action on April 6 is soaring at 92% with a massive 46% single-day rally, indicating a sharp market repricing toward near-certain action today. This is a live geopolitical binary with imminent resolution.
Anomalies
WarningPricez=3.2