
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans YES at 71%. Momentum is strong down. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$40.85 (+41%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability71.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong down24h Price Change: -22.9%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Price dropped -22.9pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong down
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$72K
Liquidity$14K
Current Probability71%
Resolves in21d
Low VolatilityVol: 10.1% → 4.9%
22 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert