Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 90% NO. Momentum is strong down. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$809.09 (+809%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability11.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong down24h Price Change: -7.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price dropped -7.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong down
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$19K
Liquidity$11K
Current Probability11%
Resolves in19d
Low VolatilityVol: 15.1% → 7.0%
20 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert