Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects YES (92%). Momentum is strong up. Predominantly retail flow.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$8.70 (+9%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability92.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong up24h Price Change: -3.9%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CRetail pressurePrice forming
- Price dropped -3.9pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong up
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved down to 75.7% from 92.5% baseline — 18% shift
- Retail pressure observed
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$8K
Liquidity$4K
Current Probability92%
Resolves in22d
Low VolatilityVol: 8.5% → 4.3%
22 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets1
Anomalies
WarningPricez=2.9