Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 41% YES. Momentum is falling. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$143.90 (+144%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability41.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -5.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice stable for 15 days
- Price dropped -5.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$4K
Liquidity$1K
Current Probability41%
Resolves in1mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
32 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Good entry point — prices are stable with room to move
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