Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 32% YES. Momentum is strong up. Predominantly retail flow.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$212.50 (+213%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability32.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong up24h Price Change: +12.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CRetail pressurePrice stable for 16 days
- Price jumped +12.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong up
- Volume trend: rising
- Retail pressure observed
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$5K
Liquidity$1K
Current Probability32%
Resolves in1mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
30 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert