Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects YES (94%). Momentum is strong up. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$6.38 (+6%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability94.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong up24h Price Change: +5.7%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice stable for 14 days
- Price jumped +5.7pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong up
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved up to 91.7% from 87.7% baseline — 5% shift
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$10K
Liquidity$18K
Current Probability94%
Resolves in22d
Low VolatilityVol: 2.2% → 1.8%
22 days until resolution. Price movements are small and steady.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets2
Anomalies
WarningPricez=2.5