Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (98% NO). Momentum is falling. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$4900.00 (+4900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability2.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -3.4%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price dropped -3.4pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$5K
Liquidity$11K
Current Probability2%
Resolves in19d
Low VolatilityVol: 25.4% → 11.1%
19 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert