Military action against Iran ends by April 16, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects YES (95%). Momentum is strong down. Predominantly retail flow.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$5.26 (+5%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability95.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong down24h Price Change: -3.6%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CRetail pressurePrice stable for 19 days
- Price dropped -3.6pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong down
- Volume trend: rising
- Retail pressure observed
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$39K
Liquidity$9K
Current Probability95%
Resolves in3d
Active tradingVol: 0.9% → 2.5%
4d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Momentum building — watch for breakout signals