Military action against Iran ends on April 7, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Momentum is falling. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -1.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price moved -1.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$23K
Liquidity$14K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in22d
Low VolatilityVol: 84.3% → 34.6%
22 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
AI Brief
The Iran military action market shows 0% YES probability for April 7 resolution, indicating near-certainty that any significant escalation either won't occur or will extend beyond this imminent deadline. With only three weeks remaining, the lack of visible conflict build-up keeps tail-risk markets extremely depressed.