Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (96% NO). Momentum is rising. Informed flow observed. Resolves in under 24 hours.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$2400.00 (+2400%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability4.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Rising24h Price Change: +1.6%Volume trend: steadyLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Price moved +1.6pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Rising
- Volume trend: steady
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$293K
Liquidity$41K
Current Probability4%
Resolves inEnded
No end dateVol: 23.4% → 11.5%
No resolution date. Volatility follows news flow.
News-driven — enter on signal, size down for uncertainty
AI Brief
Trump announcing an end to military operations against Iran by April 7 is priced at just 3%, despite the +0.5% 24h uptick suggesting slight hope for last-minute diplomatic reversal. With only one day until the deadline, traders are betting heavily against a surprise ceasefire declaration, leaving minimal room for positive surprises.