Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (90% NO).
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$900.00 (+900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability10.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +1.7%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: BMixed flowPrice forming
- Price moved +1.7pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Price move: Price moved up to 9.5% from 8.2% baseline — 15% shift
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$11K
Liquidity$25K
Current Probability10%
Resolves in22d
Low VolatilityVol: 7.3% → 3.8%
22 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Anomalies
WarningPricez=3.4