Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 41% YES. Momentum is rising. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$143.90 (+144%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability41.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Rising24h Price Change: +6.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Price jumped +6.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Rising
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$12K
Liquidity$18K
Current Probability41%
Resolves in2mo
Low VolatilityVol: 6.7% → 3.6%
83 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Good entry point — prices are stable with room to move