JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (93% NO). Momentum is strong down.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1328.57 (+1329%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability7.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong down24h Price Change: -5.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CMixed flowPrice forming
- Price dropped -5.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong down
- Volume trend: rising
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$52K
Liquidity$17K
Current Probability7%
Resolves in2d
ConvergenceVol: 37.7% → 18.7%
57h to resolution. Convergence zone — prices move toward 0 or 100.
Late entry — expensive but high conviction
AI Brief
A JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10 is priced at 14%, recently spiking +10.7% on what may be escalating geopolitical signals. The catalyst is extremely near-term (April 10 is only 4 days away), so this market will resolve quickly. Current pricing reflects deep skepticism of US-Iran diplomacy under the current administration, but recent momentum suggests changing sentiment.