Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects YES (97%). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$3.09 (+3%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability97.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +2.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice stable for 18 days
- Price jumped +2.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved down to 96.8% from 98.9% baseline — 2% shift
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$30K
Liquidity$9K
Current Probability97%
Resolves in17d
Low VolatilityVol: 1.0% → 1.3%
18 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Anomalies
CriticalPricez=6.6