About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 34% YES. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$194.12 (+194%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability34.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +7.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Price jumped +7.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved up to 35.4% from 28.8% baseline — 23% shift
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$171K
Liquidity$53K
Current Probability34%
Resolves in22d
Low VolatilityVol: 9.9% → 4.9%
22 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets11
Anomalies
WarningPricez=2.9
