About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 39% YES.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$156.41 (+156%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability39.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.5%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: CMixed flowPrice stable for 15 days
- Price moved -0.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$667
Liquidity$11K
Current Probability39%
Resolves in21d
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
22 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert