Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 81% NO. Momentum is strong up.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$426.32 (+426%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability19.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong up24h Price Change: +2.0%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: DQuietPrice forming
- Price jumped +2.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong up
- Volume trend: cooling
- Quiet order flow
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$243
Liquidity$2K
Current Probability19%
Resolves in22d
Low VolatilityVol: 9.8% → 4.8%
22 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
AI Brief
With only 24 days remaining until April 30, the market prices a 20% chance the criminal investigation into Fed Chair Jerome Powell is dropped by month-end. The narrow timeframe constrains this outcome, as investigating authorities typically move slowly on high-profile cases. Political pressure and any settlement negotiations represent the primary catalysts for early resolution.