Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans YES at 82%. Momentum is falling. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$21.95 (+22%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability82.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: +4.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice stable for 13 days
- Price jumped +4.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$17K
Liquidity$14K
Current Probability82%
Resolves in22d
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
22 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
AI Brief
Israel's 84% probability of military action against Iranian power infrastructure by April 30 reflects the present escalation cycle and Trump administration posture, with ~3 weeks for any strike window to open. The sharp -4.5% 24h decline may signal either reduced geopolitical tension or profit-taking on a high conviction position as April unfolds.