Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 74% NO.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$284.62 (+285%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability26.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -1.0%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: CMixed flowPrice stable for 13 days
- Price moved -1.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$4K
Liquidity$23K
Current Probability26%
Resolves in22d
Low VolatilityVol: 2.6% → 1.9%
22 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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