
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 42% YES. Momentum is strong down. Predominantly retail flow.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$138.10 (+138%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability42.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong down24h Price Change: -18.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CRetail pressurePrice forming
- Price dropped -18.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong down
- Volume trend: rising
- Retail pressure observed
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$2K
Liquidity$3K
Current Probability42%
Resolves in20d
Low VolatilityVol: 7.7% → 4.0%
21 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Good entry point — prices are stable with room to move