About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 43% YES. Momentum is falling. Large trader flow is active. Resolves in under 24 hours.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$132.56 (+133%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability43.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -2.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: ALarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice stable for 13 days
- Price dropped -2.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved down to 43.4% from 45.1% baseline — 4% shift
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$171K
Liquidity$606K
Current Probability43%
Resolves inEnded
No end dateVol: 2.0% → 2.9%
No resolution date. Volatility follows news flow.
News-driven — enter on signal, size down for uncertainty
Moneyline
Yes 43¢No 57¢Anomalies
CriticalPricez=3.6