US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 88% NO. Momentum is rising. Informed flow observed. Resolves in 3 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$733.33 (+733%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability12.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Rising24h Price Change: +3.9%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Price jumped +3.9pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Rising
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$72K
Liquidity$12K
Current Probability12%
Resolves in2d
ConvergenceVol: 28.5% → 15.0%
54h to resolution. Convergence zone — prices move toward 0 or 100.
Late entry — expensive but high conviction
AI Brief
Market participants assign just 14% odds to a US-Iran diplomatic meeting by April 10, reflecting skepticism despite recent uptick (up 9.2% in 24h), though Kushner's involvement and Trump administration efforts keep the door cracked open with only three days until resolution.