US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 89% NO. Momentum is falling. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$809.09 (+809%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability11.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -4.7%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Price dropped -4.7pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$27K
Liquidity$12K
Current Probability11%
Resolves in22d
Low VolatilityVol: 18.8% → 8.4%
22 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
AI Brief
US military support for Iranian Kurds sits at 15% with thin liquidity ($13.7K), reflecting structural skepticism about the Trump administration targeting this specific outcome versus broader Iran opposition support by April 30.