Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 75% NO. Momentum is strong up. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$284.62 (+285%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability26.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong up24h Price Change: +10.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price jumped +10.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong up
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$69K
Liquidity$18K
Current Probability26%
Resolves in20d
Low VolatilityVol: 16.4% → 7.5%
21 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert