About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans YES at 79%. Momentum is strong up. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$26.58 (+27%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability79.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong up24h Price Change: +6.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowLiquidity -35% (6h)Price stable for 8 days
- Price jumped +6.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong up
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved up to 77.2% from 72.5% baseline — 7% shift
- Informed flow detected
- Liquidity down 35% in last 6h
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$5K
Liquidity$38K
Current Probability79%
Resolves in22d
Low VolatilityVol: 2.8% → 2.0%
22 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets2
Anomalies
WarningPricez=3.1