Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (94% NO).
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1566.67 (+1567%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability6.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.6%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: CMixed flowPrice forming
- Price moved -0.6pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$475
Liquidity$16K
Current Probability6%
Resolves in2mo
Low VolatilityVol: 4.2% → 2.6%
73 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
AI Brief
The market prices a 6% probability of a Fed rate hike by June 2026, with overwhelming consensus favoring the dovish scenario. Recent upside momentum (+3.7% in 24h) hints at marginal hawkish expectations emerging, but traders remain firmly anchored to no-hike odds through Q2. Catalyst: inflation data or Fed communications signaling tightening bias.