About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (93% NO). Large trader flow is active. Resolves in under 24 hours.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1328.57 (+1329%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability7.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +2.8%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price jumped +2.8pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$4K
Liquidity$21K
Current Probability7%
Resolves in7h
ConvergenceVol: 22.3% → 12.5%
Last 7h. Prices converging sharply toward resolution.
Late entry — expensive but high conviction
Related Markets8
AI Brief
Bitcoin squeezed into the $64,000-$66,000 range by April 8 is priced at only 7% probability, reflecting the low likelihood of such tight consolidation. The modest -1.8% daily decline suggests broader recent volatility, making a narrow band resolution unlikely without a stabilizing catalyst.