About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 88% NO. Momentum is strong down. Large trader flow is active. Resolves in under 24 hours.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$733.33 (+733%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability12.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong down24h Price Change: -15.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price dropped -15.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong down
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$5K
Liquidity$19K
Current Probability12%
Resolves in8h
ConvergenceVol: 24.1% → 13.2%
Last 9h. Prices converging sharply toward resolution.
Late entry — expensive but high conviction
Related Markets8
AI Brief
The $70,000-$72,000 range for Bitcoin on April 8 draws only 12% YES probability, implying the market expects Bitcoin to trade significantly outside this band (either much higher or lower). The -3.5% 24h decline adds downside pressure, but at 21% conviction the range is still considered unlikely as a narrow prediction.