About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 86% NO. Momentum is strong up. Predominantly retail flow. Resolves in under 24 hours.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$614.29 (+614%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability14.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong up24h Price Change: +8.8%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: DRetail pressurePrice forming
- Price jumped +8.8pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong up
- Volume trend: rising
- Retail pressure observed
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$2K
Liquidity$15K
Current Probability14%
Resolves in8h
ConvergenceVol: 11.6% → 8.3%
Last 9h. Prices converging sharply toward resolution.
Late entry — expensive but high conviction
Related Markets3
AI Brief
The 87% no probability reflects the tight range requirement: Ethereum would need to rally from current levels into the $1,900-$2,000 band within 48 hours, a scenario most traders view as unlikely given the -0.1% 24-hour price action and absence of catalyst.