Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 8?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Momentum is falling. Large trader flow is active. Resolves in under 24 hours.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -3.8%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price dropped -3.8pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$29K
Liquidity$17K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in8h
ConvergenceVol: 50.6% → 23.8%
Last 9h. Prices converging sharply toward resolution.
Late entry — expensive but high conviction
Related Markets10
AI Brief
The extreme OTM strike of $74,000 is priced at just 3% probability, reflecting the 20%+ rally required in under 24 hours. Recent -2.1% weakness makes this pure tail-risk bet, requiring a black swan catalyst to pay off.