Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Source: official resolution criteria from Polymarket. Always verify on the source page before trading.
AI Analysis
Slight YES lean at 63%. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$58.73 (+59%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability63.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice stable for 12 days
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$8K
Liquidity$4K
Current Probability63%
Resolves in2mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
77 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert