About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.2%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price moved -0.2pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved down to 0.4% from 0.5% baseline — 20% shift
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$44K
Liquidity$262K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in23d
Low VolatilityVol: 6.7% → 3.6%
23 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets18
AI Brief
Bitcoin reaching $110K in April is priced at 0% with deep liquidity at $285K, confirming near-zero market conviction for this 70% rally in 25 days. This represents the upper bound of April price expectations; no traders are willing to bet on such an extreme move.
Anomalies
CriticalPricez=6.5