About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: coolingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice stable for 5 days
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$31K
Liquidity$218K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in23d
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
24 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets18
AI Brief
Bitcoin hitting six figures in April is priced at 1% YES, requiring an improbable 25% rally in 25 days with no near-term catalyst. The $33K daily volume reflects minimal conviction in this outcome. Most traders are watching weekly price targets instead, creating deeper liquidity further down the strike ladder.