About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 39% YES. Momentum is strong down. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$156.41 (+156%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability39.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong down24h Price Change: -11.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Price dropped -11.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong down
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$47K
Liquidity$64K
Current Probability39%
Resolves in23d
Low VolatilityVol: 9.3% → 4.6%
23 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets18
AI Brief
Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April is a dead 50-50 split with high volume, marking the market's true pivot point and center of gravity. This is the consensus undecided level; directional breakouts below $75k favor $60k dips, above favor $80k tests.