About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: coolingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice stable for 6 days
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$3K
Liquidity$155K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in23d
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
23 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets18
AI Brief
Bitcoin crashing to $25,000 in April is priced at effectively zero percent, with the market's largest liquidity pool ($169K) reflecting absolute certainty this won't occur. The May 1 deadline provides a four-week buffer, but traders are confident in BTC holding above $30K+. Only a catastrophic black swan could trigger this outcome.