About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (98% NO).
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$4900.00 (+4900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability2.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.1%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: CMixed flowPrice stable for 5 days
- Price moved +0.1pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$2K
Liquidity$34K
Current Probability2%
Resolves in23d
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
23 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets9
AI Brief
Solana dipping to $40 in April carries 2% odds, requiring a 55%+ collapse from current levels in a single month—essentially pricing this as a catastrophic black-swan scenario with minimal conviction.