About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.3%Volume trend: steadyLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Price moved -0.3pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: steady
- Price move: Price moved down to 0.5% from 0.6% baseline — 16% shift
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$4K
Liquidity$69K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in23d
Low VolatilityVol: 5.3% → 3.0%
23 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets4
AI Brief
XRP reaching $3.00 in April is essentially ruled out at 0% YES, requiring a 300-400% move that traders view as extraordinarily unlikely. This sets an upper expectation ceiling well below this level.
Anomalies
CriticalPricez=6.5