Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 53% YES. Momentum is strong up. Predominantly retail flow. Resolves in under 24 hours.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$88.68 (+89%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability53.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong up24h Price Change: +22.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: DRetail pressurePrice forming
- Price jumped +22.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong up
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved up to 49.1% from 32.9% baseline — 49% shift
- Retail pressure observed
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$5K
Liquidity$120
Current Probability53%
Resolves inEnded
No end dateVol: 21.6% → 10.8%
No resolution date. Volatility follows news flow.
News-driven — enter on signal, size down for uncertainty
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Anomalies
CriticalPricez=14.4