About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans YES at 85%. Momentum is strong down. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$17.65 (+18%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability85.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong down24h Price Change: -7.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice stable for 6 days
- Price dropped -7.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong down
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved down to 86.9% from 87.7% baseline — 1% shift
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$768
Liquidity$6K
Current Probability85%
Resolves in2mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.7% → 1.2%
83 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets1
Anomalies
WarningPricez=3.1