Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 9?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Large trader flow is active. Resolves in 2 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -2.3%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price dropped -2.3pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$3K
Liquidity$15K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in1d
ConvergenceVol: 31.7% → 16.3%
33h to resolution. Convergence zone — prices move toward 0 or 100.
Late entry — expensive but high conviction
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AI Brief
Bitcoin breaking above $76k by April 9 is heavily discounted at 2%, reflecting extreme skepticism that BTC can move nearly $6k higher in three days despite the recent rally. This asymmetric bet is effectively pricing in either consolidation or a pullback from current levels.